Last year, I thought that George W. Bush’s weakness would lead to three strong Democratic candidates, Hillary, Obama, and Edwards, plus a designated loser for the Republicans, likely McCain, and it seems it may be turning out that way. I, like everyone else, thought that Hillary was the most likely winner because of her money, her machine, and her husband, the world’s slickest campaigner, but Barack Obama seems to be the most charismatic presidential candidate since JFK, and is upsetting apple carts all along the route. With thousands of political pundits guessing who’s going to win, I don’t think I have much to add to the cacophony. I’m guessing it will be Obama for the Democrats and McCain for the Republicans, and that Obama will win, but that’s only a guess. This is the most fluid election since 1952, which is the last time there was a presidential election without either a sitting president or vice-president running. (more…)

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