Richard Worzel’s Blogs

Deadly Shock: The Coming Devastation of Power Utilities

by senior futurist Richard Worzel, C.F.A. Something strange happened in July of 2014 in Queensland, Australia. The wholesale price of electric power, which normally runs around AU$40-50 per megawatt-hour (MWh), dropped to below zero. Nobody wanted to buy electricity in the middle of a business day. Why? Because solar power installations have grown so quickly […] Read more

I Dream of (a) Genie

by senior futurist Richard Worzel, C.F.A. “Any useful idea about the future should appear to be ridiculous” – futurist Jim Dator Eighteen years ago, in 1996, I was writing a book called The Next 20 Years of Your Life (published by Stoddart Publishing in 1997), in which I projected how a variety of the major […] Read more

Scary Superbugs: Your Money, or Your Life

by futurist Kit Arrow What would a world without antibiotics be like? Unfortunately, we know all too well from history. Here’s what our future could look like without them: Marjorie was working at her favorite pastime, woodworking, planing a piece of wood for a cabinet she was making, when the wood plane slipped, and she […] Read more

The Greediest Generation

by senior futurist Richard Worzel, C.F.A. In 1998, former news anchor Tom Brokaw wrote a book called The Greatest Generation. In that book he said, “‘it is, I believe, the greatest generation any society has ever produced.’ He argued that these men and women fought not for fame and recognition, but because it was the […] Read more

Should Robots Have Rights?

by senior futurist Richard Worzel, C.F.A. Does a robot have rights? Not now it doesn’t, and it’s tempting to say a robot will never have rights because it is property. However, you could have made a similar argument about certain classes of human beings at various times through history, from women in western society until […] Read more

Towards an Immortal Brain

by futurist Kit Arrow, B.Sc. In my last blog I wrote about longevity and how there were a number of possibilities as to how we could make the body last longer. I touched on the brain, but only briefly, because there was enough on brain longevity for another post. The brain is probably the least […] Read more

5 Things You Need to Know About Living Forever

by futurist Kit Arrow Jeanne Calment of France was born in 1875, and died in 1997, at the age of 122, the oldest verifiable age for a human being. She was alive for the Boer war, the establishment of the Nobel Prize, the founding of the National Geographic society, both World Wars, the emergence of […] Read more

Climate Change, Part III: What We Will Do About It

by futurists Richard Worzel & Kit Arrow This is the third of a three-part blog post on climate change and what it means to us. The first part dealt with the evidence that climate change is really happening – although with the bizarre weather we’ve been experiencing, anyone who still doubts it clearly has problems […] Read more

Climate Change, Part II: Risk Management

by futurist Richard Worzel, C.F.A. This is the second of three parts in an overview of the future of climate change. The first part can be found here. In this section, I’m going to focus on three things relating to climate change: A working definition of risk; the nature and magnitude of the risks we […] Read more

Why You Should Believe in Climate Change: Part I

by futurist Richard Worzel, C.F.A. This is the first part of a three part discussion about climate change. The second part, which deals with the risk management aspects of climate change, can be found here. One topic that inevitably draws comments from readers of Futuresearch blog posts is any discussion of climate change. A recent comment […] Read more

What’s Truly Important in Today’s News

by futurist Richard Worzel, C.F.A. As a futurist, I read the news differently than most people. By the time something is on the front page of the mainstream media (MSM), it’s usually of very little interest to me. As well, almost none of the coverage of entertainment or athletic celebrities is of any importance when […] Read more

The Boy Who Cried “Bear!”

by futurist Richard Worzel, C.F.A. And so the Wing-Nut wing of the Republican Party is once again threatening the financial, economic, and fiscal stability of the American republic, first by threatening to block passage of a Continuing Resolution on funding the government beyond September 30th, but more importantly by threatening to block raising the debt […] Read more

GMOs vs True Believers: Greed versus Ignorance

by Kit Arrow With this post, I’m introducing my new associate, Kit Arrow. Kit has been doing research for me off and on since 2005, and has now come on board full-time as a futurist. He did his undergraduate work in molecular biology, and has done graduate work in genetics. He brings a different background […] Read more

The 5th Principle of Leadership

by futurist Richard Worzel, C.F.A. This is the conclusion of a series, which started with two earlier blogs, which you can read here and here. Fifth Principle: A leader must exercise foresight. We’ve established that a leader must lead towards something, must help her followers to improve, and must promise and achieve victory. But to do these […] Read more

The 5 Principles of Leadership, Part II

by futurist Richard Worzel, C.F.A. This is a continuation of an earlier blog, which you can read here. Third Principle: A leader places the organization’s goals above her own, and pushes her followers to improve. Why do you lead? Is it to accomplish a specific goal? Or is it to feed your ego? If the […] Read more

The 5 Principles of Leadership, Part I

by futurist Richard Worzel, C.F.A. Systematic study of the future consists of many things, and one of those is leadership. The practice of leadership is enables us to organize people and help them act and accomplish meaningful things for their future. Because it’s a pivotal issue that relates to how my clients succeed in preparing […] Read more

13 Trends for 2013

by futurist Richard Worzel, C.F.A. A new year is a time when everyone thinks and wonders about the future, and I’m no different, except for me it’s also my job. With that in mind, let me identify some of the trends and new developments that are likely to emerge, or intensify, during 2013. Some of […] Read more

4 Wild Cards for Utilities in 2013: Risks & Opportunities

by futurist Richard Worzel, C.F.A. The utility industries thrive on stability, yet they may well face a number of surprises in 2013 and beyond, both pleasant and unpleasant. And although some of these will be “unknown unknowns”, others may be unfamiliar, but can be identified using futurist techniques. In particular, the concept of Wild Cards […] Read more

A Futurist’s View of Risk & Risk Management

by futurist Richard Worzel, C.F.A. Why is risk something we want to avoid? I suspect that any attempt to answer this question will deal with the downside or cost of risk, and that’s where any assessment of risk should start. Indeed, my definition of risk is just that: Risk is the cost of being wrong. […] Read more